Enbridge Stock – Which is better – Common or Preferred?

Enbridge Stock – Which is better - Common or Preferred? We examine Enbridge preferred and common stock to see which one is best. We make the decision based on today's latest data.

Written By Canadian Preferreds

On December 12, 2020
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In this video we examine Enbridge preferred and common stock to see which one is best. We make the decision based on today’s latest data. 

Enbridge Stock – Which is better - Common or Preferred? - https://canadianpreferredshares.ca/

Enbridge Stock – Which is better – Common or Preferred?

Video transcript:

In this video we examine Enbridge preferred and common stock to see which one is best. We make the decision based on today’s latest data.

The conclusion will change over time based on changes to preferred and common stock but the process of arriving to the decision is the same.

For this video I will use the premium site. Similar information can be found in the free site.

Lets go to the Enbridge Ranking page.

Notice the navigation buttons at the top of the page. These allow jumping to the start of each section, making it easier to compare information between each section on the page.

Scroll down the page to review some of the metrics we use.  Go to section “Enbridge Common Share Metrics”.  As you can see the current yield on the common is 7.67%.

In the section “Enbridge Overall Preferred share Metrics” we see the following metrics
-Lowest Current Yield: ENB-C @ 5.00%
-Highest Current Yield: ENB-D @ 8.04%
-Average Current Yield: 6.50%
-5YR Reset Average Yield: 5.20%

In the next section “Rank Enbridge Preferreds – Compare Tool, you can see that we have a lot of metrics, but for this decision we choose to use the “blended Yield” only.

The “blended yield” is a projection of the average yield for the next five years.  We will be comparing this to a similar metric of the common stock.
To begin with, let’s review the table by “Current Yield” (highest yield 1st). As you can see ENB-N preferred  has the following yields: current(8.04%); reset(4.89%); and blended(6.6%). There is a huge yield drop from current to reset. In terms of the yield, you are getting 8.04% until December 2023, and then for the next 5 years you will be getting 4.89%.

So the best blended yield you can expect at this point from the preferreds is 6.6%, if you pick ENB-N based on today’s rates.

Use “what if scenarios“ to see other projected yields for ENB-N . Click the button ”What if Scenarios” to get to this section.

Sort the table by “current yield”. ENB-N is now at the top. Go to the very right of the table  to see the projected yield for  Scenario 6. The 5YR Government Of Canada bond Rate is set at 1.6%. You can now see that the best case scenario is for a blended yield of 7.43%.

Click on the button “Common or Preferred”. Here you can see that Enbridge has a history of increasing the common stock dividend by 10.80%.  This is based on a 17 year history of increases starting in 2005.   It ranges from a quarterly dividend of $0.28 in 2005 to $0.835 in 2021. Looking at the dividend growth rate graph you notice a decrease of the dividend in 2011. After that the dividend has been increasing consistently.

Based on the current Compound Annual Growth Rate of the Enbridge dividend I calculate the future quarterly dividend for the next 5 years to be $0.92.5, $1.02.5, $1.13.5, $1.25.8, $1.39.4. Assuming the Stock price remains the same, at $43.55 over the next 5 years, the corresponding yields will be 8.497%, 9.415%, 10.432%, 11.558%, 12.807%.

One last item is to check the short position. Currently this is 3.7%. Lets see whats the short position is on a few more preferred share issuers: BNS(3.97%) , BCE (3.32%), GWO(3.15%). All 4 seem to be around the same percentage, so there are no red flags.

There are many metrics that can be taken into consideration when making your decision. Each investor will assign different importance to each metric. For this video we are only using the expected yield for the next 5 years. Based on that it’s a clear decision. The best you can expect from the preferred is 7.43%. On the other hand the common has a current yield of  7.6700% and  will provide you with increasing yields each year projected to be 8.497%, 9.415%, 10.432%, 11.558%, 12.807%.

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